Courage Under Stressful Conditions When the Outcome is Uncertain
All
the foreign exchange trading knowledge in the world is not going to
help, unless you have the nerve to buy and sell currencies and put your
money at risk. As with the lottery “You gotta be in it to win it”. Trust
me when I say that the simple task of hitting the buy or sell key is
extremely difficult to do when your own real money is put at risk.
You
will feel anxiety, even fear. Here lies the moment of truth. Do you
have the courage to be afraid and act anyway? When a fireman runs into a
burning building I assume he is afraid but he does it anyway and
achieves the desired result. Unless you can overcome or accept your fear
and do it anyway, you will not be a successful trader.
However,
once you learn to control your fear, it gets easier and easier and in
time there is no fear. The opposite reaction can become an issue –
you’re overconfident and not focused enough on the risk you're taking.
Both
the inability to initiate a trade, or close a losing trade can create
serious psychological issues for a trader going forward. By calling
attention to these potential stumbling blocks beforehand, you can
properly prepare prior to your first real trade and develop good trading
habits from day one.
Start by analyzing yourself. Are you the
type of person that can control their emotions and flawlessly execute
trades, oftentimes under extremely stressful conditions? Are you the
type of person who’s overconfident and prone to take more risk than they
should? Before your first real trade you need to look inside yourself
and get the answers. We can correct any deficiencies before they result
in paralysis (not pulling the trigger) or a huge loss (overconfidence). A
huge loss can prematurely end your trading career, or prolong your
success until you can raise additional capital.
The difficulty
doesn’t end with “pulling the trigger”. In fact what comes next is
equally or perhaps more difficult. Once you are in the trade the next
hurdle is staying in the trade. When trading foreign exchange you exit
the trade as soon as possible after entry when it is not working. Most
people who have been successful in non-trading ventures find this
concept difficult to implement.
For example, real estate tycoons
make their fortune riding out the bad times and selling during the boom
periods. The problem with trying to adapt a 'hold on until it comes
back' strategy in foreign exchange is that most of the time the
currencies are in long-term persistent, directional trends and your
equity will be wiped out before the currency comes back.
The
other side of the coin is staying in a trade that is working. The most
common pitfall is closing out a winning position without a valid reason.
Once again, fear is the culprit. Your subconscious demons will be
scaring you non-stop with questions like “what if news comes out and you
wind up with a loss”. The reality is if news comes out in a currency
that is going up, the news has a higher probability of being positive
than negative (more on why that is so in a later article).
So
your fear is just a baseless annoyance. Don’t try and fight the fear.
Accept it. Have a laugh about it and then move on to the task at hand,
which is determining an exit strategy based on actual price movement. As
Garth says in Waynesworld “Live in the now man”. Worrying about what
could be is irrational. Studying your chart and determining an objective
exit point is reality based and rational.
Another common pitfall
is closing a winning position because you are bored with it; its not
moving. In Football, after a star running back breaks free for a 50-yard
gain, he comes out of the game temporarily for a breather. When he
reenters the game he is a serious threat to gain more yards – this is
indisputable. So when your position takes a breather after a winning
move, the next likely event is further gains – so why close it?
If
you can be courageous under fire and strategically patient, foreign
exchange trading may be for you. If you’re a natural gunslinger and
reckless you will need to tone your act down a notch or two and we can
help you make the necessary adjustments. If putting your money at risk
makes you a nervous wreck its because you lack the knowledge base to be
confident in your decision making.
Patience to Gain Knowledge through Study and Focus
Many
new traders believe all you need to profitably trade foreign currencies
are charts, technical indicators and a small bankroll. Most of them
blow up (lose all their money) within a few weeks or months; some are
initially successful and it takes as long as a year before they blow up.
A tiny minority with good money management skills, patience, and a
market niche go on to be successful traders. Armed with charts,
technical indicators, and a small bankroll, the chance of succeeding is
probably 500 to 1.
To increase your chances of success to near
certainty requires knowledge; acquiring knowledge takes hard work,
study, dedication and focus. Compile your knowledge base without taking
any shortcuts, thereby assuring a solid foundation to build upon.
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